Looking at just the box scores, Air Force seems to have more of an air raid offense than a triple-option offense.
The only good defense they’ve faced so far is Navy, and they were held to 25 points, which is 10.7 less than their average. Utah State has the 39th ranked defense in yards per play allowed, and more importantly, the 17th ranked rush defense (3.2 yards allowed per rush attempt).
As for Utah State’s offense, they’ve struggled lately & are currently ranked 78th in yards per play. They too have had some huge offensive performances, but I take those with a grain of salt, as they were against Wake Forest, Colorado State, & Nevada. Utah State will attempt to push pace, but I don’t see that as a huge factor when Air Force usually dominates time of possession (10th in avg. time of possession).
Utah State’s first two games against Wake Forest & Stony Brook both flew over 58 points, but none of their games since have topped that number (40 pts, 58, 48, and 46). I expect that trend to continue, as they’ll lean on their strong run defense in this one & limit the big plays that Air Force has thrived on.
Utah State // Air Force UNDER 58
Follow Alex on Twitter @AlexSims412
NCAAF: 22-10-2 for +13.83 units