Hawaii’s run D is terrible (120th in yards allowed per rush attempt), and they’ve been a terrible ATS bet at home in recent years (7-17-1 ATS at home since 2016). They’ve also already locked up their division & are in the Mountain West title game regardless of who wins tonight. Definition of a flat spot.

It is also supposed to be very windy tonight, and Hawaii is 2nd in the country in pass attempts per day. Considering Army is 3rd in rushing attempts per game, I don’t think the wind will effect their offense nearly as much.

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This is a consensus play from the group here – Tom Judge @theJudgesports, Shawn Burns @sburnsfootball, and James Alberino are all in agreement here as well.

 

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