I look at this line and I see a massive overreaction because Texas was barely able to escape a dangerous Kansas team who has proven they are a live dog this season. Also TCU played Kansas in week 4 and buried them 51-14 at home. The transitive property is dangerous when comparing teams, especially a team like Kansas who has proven to be so inconsistent.

   When you look at the game of the year lines put out by the Golden Nugget here in Las Vegas, Texas was a 6 point road favorite in this game before the season started. Now what has happened to either team that warrants this adjustment? I really do not see it, the market may have been off on Texas last week as they squeaked by Kansas but TCU also did not perform to the markets expectation either as they lost as a 3.5 point road favorite at Kansas State. 

   I look at this Texas team and I see a lot of similarities to the Iowa State team that trounced TCU in Ames this season 49-24. I think Texas will create similar problems. This is a talented TCU defense but I have concerns for them offensively, I like Texas to make more plays and find a way to get it done on the road this week in a bounce back spot. 

 

The Pick

Texas -1

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