Everyone wants to talk about Baylor winning ugly the past 2 weeks. Surviving against TCU in triple overtime and escaping at home against West Virginia. But like Dom Toretto says, it doesn’t matter if you win by an inch or a mile, winning is winning. The same could be said for Oklahoma who really should be coming off 2 straight losses but survived an Iowa State comeback last week. The bottom line is, there is no way Baylor should be this heavy dogs here. Throw in the fact that Matt Rhule is 28-12 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points and 13-3 ATS against teams who allow 23+ points per game.
Can you really bet on a double digit road favorite who has allowed 41 and 48 points in back to back weeks? Throw in the motivation factor here. Baylor is 9-0 and ranked LOWER than Oklahoma who has 1 loss to Kansas State who, by the way, Baylor beat! You think the Bears want to stick it to the CFB Playoff committee? Charlie Brewer can do enough with the weapons he has to put up points on this Sooner defense. Matt Rhule can also slow down the game to keep Jalen Hurts off the field.
Ultimately, this game will come down to the final possessions in the 4th quarter. I have this as a 1 possession game and no way Baylor should be double digit dogs.
College Football YTD: 46-27-1