OKC Thunder -1 vs Jazz (SAT 8/1)
OKC has looked much better than the Jazz this summer and both teams were playing very different basketball before the league got suspended. The Jazz were already struggling for a while and now lost Bogdanovic who averaged 20 points/game. OKC was the best team ATS this year at 40-24 and they do it with defense and have the 5th best 3p defense. OKC beat this team in December by 14 as 8.5 point dogs and I see the Thunder loading up on Donovan Mitchell and forcing Ingles, Clarkson and Conley to beat them. Roberson back as a shutdown defender is a plus. The Jazz don’t have many scoring options off the bench and I will fade a team that was 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 before covid and ride with a team who’s been undervalued all season and has balance and good guard play. OKC is 18-12 su their last 30 vs teams and I think they get the W today.