Saints -4 -125, 5 units. All plays rated 1-10 units in order of confidence.


If you have -5.5 I’d recommend to play it for 4 units, if you have -5 I’d recommend to buy it down. 


What you need to know:


  1. Drew Brees has been sacked just 11 times in 7 games.

 

  1. 49ers’ defense have just 13 sacks in 7 games and OLB Aaron Lynch is OUT

 

  1. Kaepernick had just 4.2 yards/attempt vs TB and 6.4 vs BUF

  1. 49ers have lost their lost 2 games by a combined 79-33

  1. 49ers struggled with Mike Evans’ height a few weeks ago so look for Brees to target the 6’3 Michael Thomas often.

  1. Saints get 2016 1st round draft pick Sheldon Rankins back at DT

 

  1. Saints defense gave up just 20 points @ KC and 13 home to Seattle (KC and Seattle each scored a defensive TD vs the Saints)

 

 

The Saints are 3-4 and can easily be 4-3 or 5-2. They’ve competed on the road as they beat San Diego 35-34 and gave the Chiefs a great game. Brees and the Saints’ receivers are so much better than the 49ers’ defense. Tim Hightower should also have a lot of room to run vs a weak SF run defense. The Saints play Denver next week and you could argue it’s a look-ahead spot but the Saints are made up of a group of veterans and watching their press conferences this week you get the sense that they know they need this game with a tough game vs Denver looming. Saints for 5 units. 


 

 

 

Week 9 plays released to subscribers:

 

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