Packers team total Over 26.5 -115

2 units. (Plays are rated 1 to 5 units in order of confidence)


The Bills are playing with house money after catching the Vikings overlooking them and the Packers badly need a win at home – that usually translates to points for Rodgers. At less than 100%, Rodgers and the Pack put up 29 points in regulation against the Vikings, 24 in the 2nd half alone against the Bears, and threw for 265 yards in the loss at Washington last week. Coming home now to play a team that gave up 28 in the first half to the Chargers in Buffalo, I’m all over the Packers offense in this spot. The Bills rank 23rd defending the tight end so Jimmy Graham should have his opportunities and Rodgers knows this team needs a big game. Packers should move the needle and pressure Allen to get some good field position for the offense.