Patriots -3 (-125) vs KC, 1.5 units
The Pats are trending up in a big way after the blowout wins against Miami and Indy. Now they come in to this game with extra time to prepare for a primetime game in Foxborough and that’s typically when Belichick is at his best. Mahomes will put up points on the Pats but Brady and the offense can beat Kansas City’s defense whether it’s with the run or the pass – the Chiefs defense gives up 343 passing yards/game and 5.8 rushing yards/carry.
Edelman returning changes the entire dynamic of this offense and having an extra 10 days to work Josh Gordon into the mix is going to help. Sony Michel is starting to take off out of the backfield and James White is always reliable.
New England can keep Mahomes off the field by running/wearing down the Chiefs’ defense and setting up the pass all night. The Chiefs are playing their 4th road game in 6 weeks and Belichick is 17-10 ATS with the Patriots when he has extra time to prepare. Pats win this in primetime in Foxborough.