Ravens +4.5 — 2.5 units
Ravens can win time-of-possession by running the ball and make scoring a premium. Chargers are coming off their biggest win in years and the possibility of being a little sluggish at points is real. LA’s run defense was getting beat at points vs KC and the combination of Gus Edwards and Lamar Jackson isn’t easy for any team to stop. This will be a grind-it-out type game for both teams where the gameplan for Baltimore is obvious and their defense is good enough to limit Rivers and force at least one mistake. Baltimore picked off Mahomes in Arrowhead and Rivers threw 2 picks at home against Denver a month ago in a 23-22 loss. This game has 23-20 written all over it and I’ll grab the very valuable 4.5 points here.