Vikings -6 — 1.5 units

Normally skeptical of road favorites (especially in the division) but Stafford is playing through a back injury and Detroit is bad on both sides of the ball. Detroit’s run game is limited without Kerryon Johnson and Kenny Golladay is their only true threat down the field in the passing game. 

Minnesota has a trend where they lose vs good teams and beat up on bad teams – since Week 4 they’re 0-5 against winning teams but 6-0 SU and ATS against teams .500 or worse. 5 of those 6 wins came by a touchdown or more. 

The Vikings new OC dialed up a great gameplan last week against Miami and this team should still be hungry to get some losses from the past month out of their system. Minnesota has won 2 of the last 3 in Detroit (both by 7+ points) and with Detroit averaging just 15.9 ppg their last 8 games I’m convinced the Vikings can cover this number even though it’s easy to be scared off by the “divisional game, home dog” notion. Vikings win something like 27-17.