*released Tuesday.

1.5 unit


Update on Monday: added Lions moneyline, 2 units. +170

Darius Slay is playing. Davante Adams it out. 


Green Bay left the Dallas game with a lot of injuries – their starting Center left hurt and there were a few injuries on defense. Davante Adams’ status for Sunday is still up in the air – I’m assuming he’s going to play and if he doesn’t it makes the Lions bet even stronger. The Lions coming off a bye and a close loss to the Chiefs are in a better situational spot than the Packers. The 4 point loss to the Chiefs was without Darius Slay and Mike Daniels. If they get either of those guys back it’s a huge plus but I would back this defense right now in a division game because the Packers don’t have that many weapons on offense and I don’t know what Davante Adams is going to be able to give this week. The Cowboys energy and effort vs the Packers was terrible and I think you get a much better fight from the Lions in a division game. The Lions also need this game more at 2-1-1 than the Packers do at 4-1 at the top of the standings. 

Without Davante Adams vs the Cowboys, Aaron Jones was the Packers’ leading receiver with 75 yards. No WR had more than 28 yards in the game. If Detroit does a good job of containing Aaron Jones it shouldn’t be easy for Green Bay to just go up and down the field. The Lions could feature Kerryon often in the run game and look to take advantage of what the Eagles did when they ran for 176 yards on them a week and a half ago. This looks like a close division game where the Lions could be tied or have a small lead at points and at the very least keep this game close. I’m looking for the Lions to have a 3-4 point lead at points and to be covering this 5 point spread by two scores at points during the game. Give me the 3-1 ATS Lions.