TEXANS / RAIDERS
Texans enter this game off a tough road loss in the division at Indy.
Raiders got shredded by Rodgers for 6 TD’s at Lambeau.
This game is going to feature offense – look OVER.
Texans rank #4 in league in red zone offense, scoring TD’s on
65% of trips to the RZ. On the other side of the ball, the Raiders
defense ranks #31 in RZ defense, allowing a TD on 68% of their
trips to their own RZ.
Texans rank #4 in the league in 3rd down conversions (48.8%). Raiders rank #29 in league in 3rd down defense, allowing conversions on 48% of opponents’ tries.
Raiders offense ranks #2 in the league in 3rd
down conversions (50%). They will face a Texans defense that ranks #27 in the
league in 3rd down defense (46.2%).
Texans just added Gareon Conley from Raiders, I don’t
suspect a major impact. Tough for a corner to come in and
make a huge impact in 1 week if you’re not named Jalen Ramsey. Plus Houston just lost Bradley Roby at CB, so this is a replacement more so than an addition.
Texans high powered offense ranks #6 in passing efficiency
and gaining 262 yards/gm through the air will face off against a
Raiders defense that ranks #29 in defensive efficiency, #30 in
pass defense efficiency and #31 in pass yards allowed/gm.
Watson will ball, move the chains and score when he gets to the RZ.
Look for him to go OVER yards in a shootout, lean to a Texas cover.
Raiders difficult road schedule is going to catch up to them eventually.
Pat has a background as a financial analyst and studies number of analytical angles every week in the NFL. He’ll post his previews and notes every week on here and you can follow him on Twitter @PHigg_Sports