• Ravens are off a convincing win in a spot they could have come out flat following their win over the Patriots. Texans are off a bye following a win in London.
  • Ravens offense ranks #2 in the league in moving the chains on 3rd down at 49%, while the Texans’ defense ranks #26 in the league in stopping opponents on 3rd down, allowing conversions on 45% of attempts.
  • Ravens offense also ranks #5 in red zone offense, scoring TD’s on 65.7% of their trips to the RZ. The Texans’ defense ranks #30 in red zone defense, allowing TDs on 67% of opponents trips to the RZ. When the Ravens move near paydirt, they should convert.
    • Against the Patriots’ highly touted defense that ranks #4 in red zone defense, the Ravens’ went 4-4. They should have the same or more success against Houston.
  • Deshaun Watson should have time to throw the ball. Laremy Tunsil is questionable, but he is in line to play this weekend. Texans OL has only allowed two sacks in the L3 games. On the season they rank #7 in pass protection, with only 16 sacks in 9 games. They will face the Ravens’ pass rush, which has been unimpressive, ranking #27 on the year in pass rush with only 16 sacks.
  • With two QB’s with advantages in pass protection and moving the chains on 3rd down, we have the Ravens’ #3 offense in terms of efficiency facing the Texans’ #9 in offensive efficiency.

Ravens’ OVERS have covered in 5 of L7, while Houston OVERS have hit in 3 of L5.