.75 unit

The Browns shouldn’t be road favorites over a division rival with a defense like this. The Browns three game win streak all came at home – one win was vs the Dolphins and another was vs the Steelers on the dreaded Thursday night road trip for Pittsburgh. Cleveland was just -3 at home vs Pitt, now they’re -2 on the road? This would be the equivalent of Cleveland being 8 point favorites if the gamer today were in Cleveland and that’s not accurate. Juju out will not make this an easy play for Pittsburgh’s offense but Cleveland’s secondary has been dicey on the road and Cleveland is 0-3 SU and ATS their last 3 on the road, missing the cover by an average of 10.7 ppg. LT Greg Robinson is out for this game and the Steelers front 7 should get to Baker. I think Hodges is a better quarterback than Rudolph and can make a few plays when needed. Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS since Big Ben got hurt and the defense hasn’t given up more than 24 points in any game in that stretch. I’ll grab the points in a low scoring game with an angry home team.