NFL WIN TOTALS + ATS Performance

Regular Season Wins Futures (posted on Twitter @SureBetss 7/29, odds may be different)

Patriots o11 (-130) 3U

There’s really not much to this one, the Patriots have won at least 11 games the past nine seasons and 13 of the last 14. Tough to find six losses on the schedule this season. Their defense might be the best they have had in the past 8 years. This should be a push at worst.

Bengals u6 (even) 2U
Rookie head coach for a team without a ton of talent. Playing in a tough division where they should be in fourth place. AJ Green is injured to start the season and 2 of last 3 years has played fewer than 10 games. They do luck out playing the AFC East this season but should be under dogs in anywhere from 11-13 games. Looking at their schedule it’s tough for me to find more than five wins for them. If you can still get the under at six without crazy juice I like it.

Redskins u6.5 (-140) 1U
This OL is a dumpster fire without Trent Williams and their skilled position are even worse. Jay Gruden is going to have to do some magic if this team wants to even be close to the playoff hunt. Looking at the way the roster is set up I don’t know how they are going to compete with teams who can put up any type of points. Keenum is starting the season but will be interesting to see how long of a leash he will get until calls for Haskins inevitably start. The one bright spot is the defense should be improved. Much like with the Bengles it’s tough for me to find more than five wins in their schedule. I love getting this number at 6.5

Panthers o7.5 (-135) 1U
I’m very high on the Panthers this season. Expecting Cam/CMC/DJ to have a big year. Defense is loaded with great players including new signings Gerald McCoy and Eric Reed. They started the season 6-2 before losing 7/8 to end the year mostly because of Cam’s injury. The OL has some?’s but if they can keep Cam healthy they are a sleeper team in the NFC. Although the NFC South usually eats itself playing both the NFC West and AFC South should benefit Carolina. Looking at the schedule I think this team has the potential to win 10 games, eight should be the minimum and I love it at this price.

Vikings o9 (-120) 1U
Vikings are one of the two NFC teams I placed an NFC championship future on. This team is stacked with talent on both sides of the ball. Questions on offense for me come from the OL and can Kirk Cousins lead this team. I believe he can and I think this is the season the Vikings finally get over the hump. The Vikings do however play a loaded schedule. I think this team can get to 10 wins, getting this number at 9 is great because I’m thinking a push at worse.

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Best teams ATS last 3 years in September

Chiefs 7-2
Ravens 7-3
Vikings 6-3-1
Rams 6-3-1
(Pats, Lions, Jags, Raiders, Browns, Titans all 6-4)

Worst teams ATS last 3 years in September

Seahawks 2-7-1
Giants 3-7
Cardinals 3-7
Jets 3-6-1
Chargers 3-6-1

Best teams SU last 3 years in September
Chiefs 8-1
Ravens 8-2
Rams 8-2
Broncos 7-2
(Pats, Eagles, Packers tied 7-3)

Worst teams SU last 3 years in September
Browns 1-8-1
49ers 2-8
Cardinals 2-8
(Giants, Jets, Chargers, Colts 3-7)

Best OVER teams last 3 years in September
Falcons 8-2
Buccaneers 7-2
Broncos 6-2-1
Packers 8-3
(Lions, Chargers tied 7-3)

Best UNDER teams last 3 years in September
Cardinals 2-8
Giants 3-7
Seahawks 3-7
Texans 3-7
(Eagles, Vikings tied 3-5-2)