There’s a good chance Lebron starts out fast in this game and can win the first quarter. The longer these two teams play the more opportunities the Warriors have of outshooting the Cavs, but in a desperate spot at home Lebron knows he has to set the tone early with his scoring like he did in Game 1. The Cavs should have more energy at home with their backs against the wall and they should be able to get out in front early. Home teams down 0-2 are on a 33-5 ATS run on the first half line of Game 3 but I’m going to play the first quarter to limit Golden State’s chances of scoring runs and bet on the first 12 minutes.


Cavs 1st quarter ML -125, 1 unit.

1 to 5 unit scale.