Heat team total O101.5             Game 1      2 units

Over 211.5 Celtics/Heat                             1 unit

The Over is 8-3 in Heat games during the playoffs and 9-3 in Celtics games since Game 2 vs the Hawks. The Heat’s team total is set at 101.5 and they went Over this in 10 of 11 playoff games. The Celtics scored 115 and 121 in Games 1 and 2 vs the Sixers and 112 and 119 in Games 1 and 2 vs the Hawks and in last year’s Celtics/Heat series when Rob was starting Game 1 was a 118-107 Heat win on a 203 point total and the first 3 games all went Over. The Heat averaged 104.3 ppg vs the Knicks and that was with their 3 point #’s being less efficient than the 1st round and they averaged 122 ppg before overtime vs the Bucks. The Heat will have to have better 3 point #s vs the Celtics than they had vs the Knicks and they know that Rob Williams will stay in the paint more and hurt them more defensively unless they’re hitting outside shots at a high clip so the Heat should be aggressive from three. Game 1s like we saw last night with the play on the Nuggets Over are usually more offense than defense before the defensive adjustments tighten up later in the series.