Miami -3 vs Iowa St – 2 units
Miami plays a group of seniors and 6th year seniors (yes, 6th) who have a lot of experience over the teams they play against and don’t make many mistakes. 11 of Iowa State’s 12 losses were by more than 3 and 12 of Miami’s 16 wins since ACC play started were by 3 or more. Iowa St’s defense is great but if Miami does what they do and Moore, McGusty and Wong get out in transition they can speed Iowa St up and force Iowa St to play some possessions without setting up their defense. Miami’s on a 6-1-1 ATS run and every game covered by 4 or more and they’re one of the few teams who can handle going from underdogs to favorites with success because of their experience. Miami wins this and I think it’ll be a pretty comfortable win.