Air Force +4 vs Colorado (1 unit)

I was able to grab Air Force +4 this morning, but I like Air Force to win outright so +3.5 works too. Colorado is coming off an emotional upset of Nebraska in overtime last week and now must prepare for Air Force’s option offense. They also have a night game at Arizona State looming next weekend (not exactly a sandwich spot but conference games do matter more).

Colorado HC Mel Tucker is already on record saying he doesn’t expect a hangover, but it may not matter due to their inexperience against the option. I went searching for recent results against option offenses to find that Colorado didn’t play any in the past two seasons. This is troubling for a young defense returning only 4 starters and giving up 4.0 yards per rush (T-69th) this season against the likes of CSU (4.2 yards per rush – 51st) and Nebraska (3.1 yards per rush – 88th). Also, Air Force has had extra time to prep after beating Colgate 48-7 at home week 1.

  • Air Force is 9-4-1 ATS (69.2%) as an underdog since 2016
    • Covered by an average of 7.1 points in those games
  • Air Force is also 7-3 ATS (70.0%) with rest advantage since 2016


NCAAF Record (through week 2): 4-1-1 for +2.9 units

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