I expect a very quick leash for Paxton here facing elimination there is little room for error against a lineup as potent as this one. Houston strikes out the fewest against left handed pitching this season at just 17.8%. For some perspective the 2nd lowest team is Oakland at 19.2%. I expect this Astros lineup to be aggressive and knock Paxton out of the game early like they did when they faced him in Game 2 when he lasted just two and a third innings pitch.
James Paxton UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)