Tips for Divisional Weekend

3-0 ATS Wild Card Weekend (CIN +3, MIN +4.5, GB PK)

12-4 ATS the last 4 weeks

7-1 ATS the last 2 weeks for +33.9 units

58-42 ATS this season for +49.3 units
8-2 ATS Super Bowl record lifetime

It’s been an amazing run that I plan on continuing today. Every week when I handicap games I look for certain angles – whether it’s stats, situations, or trends – that apply directly to the situation at hand. You have to filter through a lot of BS trends to find ones that actually make sense. Take for example last week – I found that road favorites in the Wild Card round were 6-15-1 ATS coming into last weekend. Case in point – fading the road favorites (KC -4, PIT -3, SEA -4.5) profited as the road favorites went 1-2 ATS.

Here’s what I’m looking at for this weekend:

1. Home teams in the Divisional Round are 12-4 SU the past 4 seasons but just 6-10 ATS. There have been a lot of home teams winning but in tight fashion.

2. Seattle will be playing 3 road games in a row. This is key – remember, their two Super Bowl runs were both with home-field advantage. Last week was the first time Seattle played on the road in the playoffs (except for neutral Super Bowl games) in 3 seasons. Also the start time for SEA-CAR is 1PM which is 10 AM Seattle time. This situation favors the Panthers.

I was featured on Barstool Sports this week for Divisional Weekend after I went 3-0 last week when they brought me on. I released a play on the Panthers that I want to give to you for free:

To sum up the full analysis on Carolina:

Carolina can win at the line of scrimmage: Seahawks have the 28th worst sack percentage in the NFL and the Panthers have one of the best front 7s in the league.
Seahawks are 26th worst in the NFL at covering tight ends as Greg Olsen had 7 catches for 131 yards in the last matchup. The Panthers can exploit this.