Week 10 in the NFL is arguably the most exciting Sunday of games yet this season. Here’s a breakdown of a few key matchups that will have big betting implications:
- Falcons @ Eagles: Julio Jones vs Leodis McKelvin and Eagles’ secondary
McKelvin has been bothered by a hamstring injury that affected him last week vs the Giants – OBJ scored 2 touchdowns on him and created a lot of space for himself in the secondary. The Eagles will try to put as much pressure on Matt Ryan as they can, as their front 7 is their strong suit, but if Atlanta’s O-line can protect Ryan like they’ve been doing all season then this matchup on the outside could determine who wins the game. Julio will get extra attention from the defense but if Ryan’s protected well then you’ll either see success in the passing game to Jones or the double coverage on him will create room for Sanu, Gabriel, and Hooper. Eagles are either a PK or -1 depending on which book you are looking at.
2. Cowboys @ Steelers: Cameron Heyward & Ryan Shazier vs Ezekiel Elliot
The headline getting lost in this media hyped game is that Cam Heyward is back for the Steelers. Him and Shazier are the Steelers’ two best defenders and when Heyward is in it makes Shazier so much more effective because he draws double teams. The Steelers’ run defense has been awful, so how well Heyward plays will have a huge impact on this game. Steelers are 3 point favorites.
3. Rams @ Jets: Aaron Donald vs Bryce Petty
Yup, the Jets are officially done with Fitzpatrick. They’ve moved on to their 2015 4th rounder out of Baylor, Bryce Petty. Petty has a strong arm and New York is excited about him but this is his first start and this is not the defense you want to face in your first start. Aaron Donald had ELEVEN quarterback pressures last week on Cam Newton and he is arguably the best DT in the NFL right now. Donald will certainly look to get into the Jets’ backfield today and rattle the first-time starter. Petty is a mobile QB who is a pretty good runner so how well he picks up the Rams’ pressure is key. Jets are a PK
4. Chiefs @ Panthers: Chiefs front 7 vs Carolina’s O-line
It’s no secret that the Panthers have struggled protecting Cam this year. Even in their win vs the Rams last week he was on his back way more than he’d like to be. Not many people are talking about the Chiefs’ defense (not surprising, they’re a vanilla offense and don’t get much media sizzle) but this team has won 16 of their last 18 games predominantly because of this pass rush. Edge rushers Tamba Hali, Dee Ford, and Chris Jones can cause problems versus any O-line let alone one without their starting LG Michael Oher. If Cam can make quick reads in this game then the Chiefs’ offense isn’t good enough to keep up with the Panthers, but if Cam is pressured even 75% the amount he was pressured last week it will be really tough for the Panthers to pull this game out. Panthers are -3
Follow on Twitter all Sunday @spreadinvestor as I’ll be posting betting nuggets throughout the day.