Can’t see Miami topping 20 points with the skill players they have. Tannehill had 137 yards last week and New England’s defense is good in the redzone and forcing turnovers. NE ran the ball 37 times last week and 35 times vs the Jets two weeks ago. Miami’s only chances of winning this game are by either running the ball a ton (and keeping New England’s offense off the field) or pressuring Brady a lot in the pocket. Their gameplan favors the Under.
As for New England, their running game is hard to stop and they consistently put together long drives. They’re either going to be up two scores late in the game and run the ball heavy in the 4th quarter or find themselves in a lower scoring game because Miami’s defense is playing well. Both favor the Under.
Miami’s ceiling is 20 points in my opinion, which would take more than 28 points for New England to top this total. New England has scored 20 points or less in 4 of the last 5 trips to Miami. Their offense should put up more around the 24-27 mark today without Xavien Howard and Brady has* had big games in Miami in the past (6 TDs one year), but this game should be a more above-average offensive performance as opposed to anything extreme.
New England has gone Under 5 games in a row (3 totals were less than 48) and Miami has gone Under 4 games in a row.
27-16 type of game with a Pats win. Under.