Here are notes and analysis from doing a deep dive into the box scores of 7 Week 1 games:
Redskins 27….Redskins cover +10 on a meaningless touchdown with :06
Redskins jumped out to an early 17-0 lead and carved up the Eagles’ secondary, but the Eagles settled in and fed DeSean Jackson the ball and scored 25 unanswered points in second half.
• Redskins: excluding the final drive in the second half (garbage time) where they back door covered the game, they gained 28 yards in the second half
• Eagles: 11-17 3rd down conversions
• Eagles: won TOP battle 34:27 – 25:33
• Redskins: 12 penalties, 96 yards
• Redskins: 13 rushes, 28 yards, 2.2 ypc
• Redskins: maybe try to bring Trent Williams back
Panthers 27….Rams cover -2
Rams led this game from the beginning and did not look at all like a team suffering from Super Bowl hangover. Panthers hung with them and kept it close. Every time Carolina looked like they would tie the game or take the lead, the Rams made a stop and moved the chains with big runs or Goff making sharp passes rolling out of the pocket. RB Malcolm Brown looked very good for the Rams and picked up some key first downs. I like them at home to cover the number against a Bucs team that will continue to suffer from Jameis’ inability to protect the ball.
• Box score in this game indicates pretty even game.
• Rams won TOP battle 33:16 – 26:44, indicative of their ability to run the ball and milk clock in second half particularly.
• Panthers lost this game because they lost the turnover battle 3-1. DJ Moore continued his fumble problems from last year and cost the Panthers a chance to go up 7-0 with a redzone fumble.
Jags 26….Chiefs cover -3.5
On the road, against a defense that was supposed to and still could return to its 2017 form re-energized by a new QB, Chiefs still shredded on offense. I do not expect them to suffer from having a year on tape for opposing DC’s. Nick Foles broke his collarbone and backup QB Gardner Minshew came into the game. After a bad preseason, Minshew finished 22/25 with 275 yards 2TDs/1 INT
• Mahomes: 378 yards, 3 TDs
• Chiefs: allowed 0 sacks
• Jags: 10 penalties, 71 yards
• Chiefs: 2-6 on red zone conversions, meaning they left points on the field.
Dolphins 10….Ravens cover -7
I’m a big believer in Lamar going into this year, not as a reaction to this game. The Dolphins look like they should be relegated to a lower league and multiple players in Miami requested trades because they don’t want to be part of a team deliberately tanking. This game was reminiscent of Alabama’s football game against the Citadel last year.
• Dolphins: allowed 643 total yards
• Dolphins: had a mutiny in their locker room following the game
• Baltimore: won TOP battle 40-20 minutes
• Dolphins: eviscerated completely, Patriots coming to town next week
Falcons 12…Vikings cover -4
The Vikings said all offseason that they were going to commit to being a heavy running team, and they underlined that stance on Sunday at home against Atlanta. They rushed 38 times for 172 yards, while Kirk Cousins attempted only 10 passes. 28-12 loss may cause concerns for Atlanta but they moved the ball effectively, just turned the ball over at crucial times and did not move the chains effectively on 3rd down.
• ATL: 27 first downs on 10 drives
• Matt Ryan – 33-46, 272 yards, 2 TDs
• Sloppy game for both sides:
o Atlanta 9 penalties, 78 yards
o Minnesota: 11 penalties, 100 yards
Bucs 17 ….49ers cover +1
• Despite new coach, Jameis Winston still sucks – 3 INTS – including one two for a pick 6 and one that was thrown in the direction of absolutely nobody.
• Garroppolo did not look sharp, stared down receivers at times and seemed hesitant making many throws. Unimpressive stat line – 18-27, 166 yards, 1 TD, 1 pick
• There were 5 TDs by my count that were called back by penalties in this game
• SF: 0-3 in red zone
• TB: 1-4 in red zone
• 49ers did not dominate this game – they scored twice off Winston mistakes
Browns 13….Titans cover +5.5
The Browns looked like an overhyped, immature team that read their own press clippings all offseason and has inexperienced and potentially poor coaching. The Titans looked much more buttoned up and executed their gameplan.
• Browns: 1-10 on 3rd down conversions
• Browns: 18 penalties, 182 yards
• Browns: 3 turnovers
• Browns: 5 sacks for -42 yards
• By my count Baker fumbled 2-3 times but team recovered
• Mariota inefficient 14-24, numbers juiced by a 75 yard screen pass to Derrick Henry