The Broncos offense is not good and that shouldn’t be surprising – Joe Flacco is not a good NFL quarterback. This team struggled at Oakland Week 1, had 6 points with :34 left at home vs the Bears in Week 2 before they lost, and just lost to Green Bay by double digits. Joe Flacco has only 2 touchdowns in 10 redzone trips this year. With or without Jalen Ramsey, I’m not worried because Denver doesn’t have a high powered offense and Jacksonville has enough speed to deal with them. Flacco has 0 TDs and 4 INTs his last 2 games against Jacksonville. Jacksonville’s defense just dominated Tennessee, held the run game in check, and pressured Mariota all night. Now they come into Denver with 3 days of extra prep and momentum. For as much talent as Denver’s defense has, they have just 3 hits and ZERO sacks on the season so far.
I’m convinced Vic Fangio’s head coaching has something to do with this and his adjustment from defensive coordinator to head coach hasn’t been a smooth one. I don’t expect things to be easy for Jacksonville’s offense, but if they get favorable field position throughout the game they can put together a few scoring drives. Gardner Minshew has played with confidence, made plays, and limited mistakes. I don’t see Jacksonville giving up more than 16-17 points here, if that. Their defense has a clear edge over Flacco and that could lead to favorable field position for Jacksonville’s special teams to setup the offense. Denver is 0-6-1 their last 7 times as a home favorite – the altitude definitely isn’t easy to play through as the road team, but Denver’s offense doesn’t justify laying points vs a good defense. I’ll take the points with the Jags.