*Upgraded to 1.5 unit
This is a Rams spot play – they need a game at 3-2 and know if they lose this game to the 4-0 49ers, the division might be all but wrapped up.
The Rams are coming off a Thursday night loss to the Seahawks and the 49ers are coming off their A+ game on Monday night. There’s a significant edge to the Rams in terms of preparation and McVay is 10-1 with extra time to prepare.
The 49ers looked great vs the Browns, but teams very rarely have back to back A+ games, especially with the Rams being desperate. The 9ers are also without their starting FB, RT, and LT and that will impact their running game. The Rams are without Clay Matthews, Talib, and Gurley, but the Rams have enough pass rushers to make this a defensive game and pressure Jimmy G often.
I think you get a fired up Rams defense and a lower scoring game than expected. Rams win, Rams cover.