NFL Week 15 notes & trends
Chargers 15-28-1 ATS (35%) at home since 2014 and 1-4-1 ATS at home this season and would be 1-5 ATS if Vinatieri didn’t miss a bunch of field goals. I don’t know how this line opened only at -2.5. I know the Vikings have the Packers on deck but the Vikings are 9-4 and the Pack are 10-3, the Vikings need this game in order for next week to matter. Like the Vikings a lot. Rivers 0-1 ATS after screaming 90 yard touchdown touchdown in the face of a guy who helped him up. The week after he gets his team eliminated from the playoffs.
Bears are 1-5 ATS on the road this season, the one cover was at Washington in Week 3.
Packers are 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS the last 10 vs Chicago
This line is -4.5. 9 of the 10 Packers wins were by 5 or more points.
Tough spot for the Pack though with the Vikings on deck and that game mattering a lot more. Bears also feeling a little bit better about themselves the last couple of games.
Cowboys are 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS vs teams this season that currently have a winning record.
Bills/Steelers (Sunday Night Football)
Home teams 47-33-1 ATS on Sunday Night Football since 2015. 9-5 ATS this season.
Steelers 9-2 ATS since Big Ben got hurt.
Bills have New England next. Coming off the Baltimore game. Pitt at 8-5 needs this game for the wild card more than Buffalo at 9-4. If Pittsburgh loses this and doesn’t have the tiebreaker with Buffalo their wild card chances go down a good amount.
Titans are 5-1 ATS the last 6 games.
The Titans are a completely different team with Mariota on his way out of town and Tannehill at the helm. Since being inserted into the
starting lineup in the middle of a 16-0 loss to the Broncos, the Titans
have won 6 of 7 games and re-inserted themselves into the race for
the AFC South title. They’ve broken 31 points in the last 4 games, while Tannehill passed his way to a 76% completion percentage with 9 TD’s and 1 INT. Clearly Tannehill’s effectiveness has also been fruitful for Derrick Henry, who is averaging 150 yards/gm over the
L4 weeks with 7 rushing TD’s.
With all this established, this looks like a great matchup for the Titans’ offense, which ranks #8 in the league in offensive efficiency, #9 in passing efficiency and #1 in RZ offense (73%). They will face a very suspect Texans defense, which ranks #30 in the league in defensive efficiency, #27 in pass defense efficiency and #31 in RZ defense (67.5%)
A bettor placed a $32 wager this summer on Lamar Jackson to win the MVP at +20,000 odds. The payout would be $6,400. The bettor sold this ticket for $280 on PropSwap.com after Week 1 and now the buyer holds a $280 ticket to win $6,400. Last night vs the Jets might have locked up this ticket. Either way, if you’re not checking PropSwap at least once week you’re missing out on some really good future betting tickets and a new way to bet in the market. I love what PropSwap is doing in the space and this form of betting on futures is here to last.
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