It’s supposed to rain throughout this game and we might see a defensive battle in Foxborough. New England’s defense should play with a lot of energy after being embaressed last weekend. This is probably a one score game but I have New England winning and making a key play in a big spot. 

New England isn’t going to overpower Tennessee and they’re going to have to win schematically. Gilmore can limit AJ Brown. Belichick’s defensive schemes will have to confuse Tannehill at key points. New England was the best 3rd down defense this season so a key 3rd down or redone trip could decide this game. 

A positive for New England is that Tennessee’s defense wasn’t great this year. They gave up 30 points at Carolina in November. They gave up 21 to Oakland in the first half on the road when the Raiders were without Josh Jacobs. This is a game that I think is won based off of who gets the most redzone stops and 3rd down stops in key moments, not necessarily yardage. New England’s special teams also can always make a big play. 

I think Tannehill will make plays at paints, Henry will be a handful, and this will be close. But in the end, I expect New England to make a big play when it’s needed and for the young Titans to not.

New England wins but I’m not laying the 5. 

Teaser: Pats +1.5/Bills +8.5