2.5 unit play
Plays are rated 1 to 5 units – 1 is a minimum bet, 5 is a max bet
Ravens +3 at Buffalo – 8:15pm ET Saturday
The Ravens finally broke through the wall of them not being able to win a playoff game with Lamar Jackson and the Bills were called a team that could win the Super Bowl from early November, much like the Ravens last year. I like the Ravens to be able to move the ball on the Bills #17 ranked rush defense that just gave up 163 yards on the ground to Indianapolis. The Ravens just ran for 236 yards on the ground vs Tennessee and controlled time of possession. The Colts had the ball for 34:17 vs Buffalo and that’s definitely going to be the mindset for Baltimore this weekend – run the ball and attack one of Buffalo’s only weaknesses. John Harbuagh is 10-3 ATS on the road in the playoffs with the Ravens and road underdogs of 3 points or less in the playoffs are 9-2-1 ATS since 2016 with 8 of those teams winning outright. Buffalo’s offense will absolutely be a test but Baltimore just passed their biggest test last week beating Tennessee’s offense which is much more than just Derrick Henry. After trailing 10-0 in the first quarter Baltimore only let Tennessee score 3 points on them the rest of the game. Marlon Humphrey can do as good of a job as most corners in the league on Stefon Diggs. I like Baltimore to grind this out and win the game mostly on the ground, with defense, and with 3rd down play.
Another note: Unders are 3-0 in Lamar’s three playoff games and last week’s total went under by 20 points. I haven’t played the total but the Under would be the only way that I would go.
Season record: 52-40 +3.2