Chiefs +1.5 vs Eagles
Super Bowl 57. 2.5 units
A lot of quick passes from Mahomes to give the Eagles front 7 less time to rush and with the wide receivers mostly all healthy Mahomes can spread the ball out to 7-8 targets and not target Slay and Bradberry as much and mix in some screen passes. The Eagles probably have more talent overall but the Chiefs experience and being to 3 Super Bowls in 4 years is a benefit when dealing with all the media and distractions for 2 weeks. Short passes also should make the clock move and can shorten the game and the Eagles could have the ball for a few less minutes than they’re used to. Taking a lot of shots down the field would play into the Eagles hands and give the better defense the advantage and the incompletions would slow the clock down and give the Eagles more time to control the run game. Underdogs are 10-5 ATS in the Super Bowl since 2007, Mahomes is 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog, Andy Reid’s 27-4 off a bye and the majority of betting tickets are on the Eagles in almost every state. Enjoy the game.